Categorized | Featured, German Bundesliga

Mainz vs. VfB Stuttgart Predictions, Tips, & Picks 11/4/11

Mainz FC is floating around the relegation zone right now in the German Bundesliga. On Friday, they’ll have a tough task in front of them just to claim a single point with one of the top sides in the country, VfB Stuttgart coming to town.

Mainz isn’t exactly in fine form right now, coming into this one off of a relatively expected 3-1 loss to the Werder Bremen at home on October 29th. The team hasn’t taken three points in a match since the first two fixtures of the year, and that’s why it has gone from near the top of the table to level with Hamburg SV for the relegation playoff in just nine fixtures. There is still a long, long season ahead, and things don’t look good for Mainz in its hope for survival.

This defense is just atrocious. The team has allowed 22 goals this year, and though that isn’t shocking, at least in terms of what the rest of the league has been able to do offensively for the most part, averaging allowing two goals per game is a recipe for relegation in virtually whatever league and whatever level of football you’re playing at.

Surprisingly, Mainz got off to a hot start last week against Bremen by coming out of the blocks with a 23rd minute goal from Niko Bungert. It was Bungert’s second goal of the campaign, and he became the fourth member of the team to strike at least twice. Maxim Choupo-Moting has three goals, and he is the only one to stake claim to have more than two goals for this team on the year.

Stuttgart has taken at least one point from four straight fixtures, though it probably is bitterly disappointed about its back to back draws at home against Borussia Dortmund and away at Nurnberg. There are still definitely some strong hopes about getting into European competition this year once again, something that the team isn’t involved in this year. Right now, Stuttgart is hanging in sixth place at 5-3-3 and 18 points, but there are only two points separating it and the Champions League as well in a tightly knit top of the Bundesliga table (beyond Bayern Munich).

There are already five players that have scored twice this year for VfB Stuttgart, led by Martin Harnik, who has four goals. This is another one of these teams atop this league that generally has no problem putting balls in the back of the net, and we don’t anticipate it being much of a problem this time around either.

This game is lined at a straight pick ‘em, and both sides are at -110 on the moneyline. We tend to think that the best play of the bunch is on the ‘over’ 2.5 goals at -105, as both of these clubs have the ability to score goals, and Mainz’s defense is about as strong as a leaky faucet or a slice of Swiss cheese. Expect at least three, if not more goals on Friday night at Mainz.

This TSS post was written by:

- who has written 19 posts on Total Soccer Source.

Wolf is the newest member of the Total Soccer Source team, and he is a welcome asset. He's a German native, residing just outside of Berlin. He has been following the Bundesliga for over 20 years, and he has covered games for local German news outlets for the past decade.

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