Categorized | Featured, German Bundesliga

SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen Predictions, Tips, & Picks 10/28/11

On Friday afternoon, two teams that are battling to stay out of the relegation zone on the Bundesliga table meet up at Badenova Stadion in Freiburg, as SC Freiburg takes on Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

The truth of the matter is that Leverkusen should be in a heck of a lot better shape than this with Michael Ballack manning the captaincy. The team is 4-2-4 to show for its work thus far on the season, an awfully average mark for a team that has above average talent. The relegation zone is only six points away, but the march to get to European competition next year is only three points short. This is the type of fixture that this team should be taking against a team that knows that it will be fighting for its life for the rest of the season.

Ballack hasn’t tallied yet in this 2011-12 Bundesliga season, but he has had an assist and continues to be one of the better men in this lineup on a regular basis. Stefan Kiebling has three goals to lead the team, but the real contributions are coming from this defense. In a season in which it is becoming awfully routine for winning teams to have found the back of the net two, three, or even more times than that, Leverkusen is holding teams to just 1.4 goals per game in spite of its average place in the table.

Needless to say, things are going to have to improve for Bayer 04, as it has already been beaten twice this year at home, most recently in an 0-1 drop to Schalke 04. The team only has one point in its last two matches in the Bundesliga, though it does have a Champions League win over Villarreal to show for its work in the mix as well.

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Freiburg’s offense revolves completely around Papiss Demba Cisse. He has seven of the team’s 14 goals on the season, and when he doesn’t get on the stat sheet in some form or another, this team struggles.

Problems in defense have really cost this team though, as SV Freiburg is averaging allowing 2.5 goals per game, easily the most in the Bundesliga. The good news is that most of those goals have come in five away fixtures, as at home, Freiburg has actually outscored its foes 7-6 in spite of its 2-0-3 mark there.

There is definitely some hope for SC Freiburg though, as wins over Wolfsburg and Borussia Monchengladbach here at the Badenova Stadion have to give it some confidence going forward.

Still, it’s Leverkusen that is getting the slight nod at +100 to take all three points in this fixture on the road. Don’t be surprised though, if the hosts come out with sound and fury and not only hold Bayer 04, but perhaps take all three points as well.

This TSS post was written by:

- who has written 19 posts on Total Soccer Source.

Wolf is the newest member of the Total Soccer Source team, and he is a welcome asset. He's a German native, residing just outside of Berlin. He has been following the Bundesliga for over 20 years, and he has covered games for local German news outlets for the past decade.

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