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FC Augsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen Predictions, Tips, & Picks 10/21/11

Our German Bundesliga tips are revved up again on Friday afternoon, as FC Augsburg tries to take out Werder Bremen.

Augsburg is sitting in the relegation zone right now, but the truth of the matter is that just staying alive in the Bundesliga is going to be a tremendous accomplishment. This is a team that has never been in the top flight of German soccer, and it claimed its first win ever on the road at Mainz just six days ago. It was a joyous event for all Augsburg fans, but sitting at just 1-4-4 through nine fixtures, the reality is striking there are going to have to be more wins on the horizon to keep this club alive without making the immediate drop back down to 2. Bundesliga.

So far on the campaign, scoring has been the big problem for Augsburg. This team only has seven goals in nine fixtures, and in the goal-happy Bundesliga, that’s a huge issue. Only Kaiserslautern has seven goals as well, but every other team in the league has at least 11 strikes on the campaign. The good news is that the ‘D’ has only allowed 16 goals, which is fewer than the other four teams in the relegation fight right now.

And then there is Werder Bremen, a team that is still fighting for one of the spots in European competition for the 2012-13 season. Bremen is 5-1-2 on the season, but those two losses have come in back to back matches.

Last Friday, Borussia Dortmund came into the Weserstadion and walked out with a 2-0 victory in spite of the fact that many were making their Bundesliga tips on the hosts in that match. It was the first time since August 14th that the team failed to score a goal in a match, and it was the first time in three fixtures that the squad didn’t strike twice.

Still, Claudio Pizarro, Markus Rosenberg, and Marko Arnautovic, who combined have scored 12 of Bremen’s 15 goals on the season, have to be licking their chops about going against this team, even on the road. The issue is that Werder Bremen only has netted five goals in six fixtures on the road this year, and this could be a big problem if the offense doesn’t get going in a hurry.

If the hosts are going to get their first three points at home in team history in the Bundesliga, they are going to have to do so as big time underdogs. Werder Bremen is a half goal favorite at -120, and the expectations are definitely there to snare three points from this fixture. Anything less will be considered a disappointment, especially against a side that many figured would be the worst in the league this year. The ‘total’ has been set at 2.5 over -150.

Posted in Featured, German Bundesliga

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